This week, two very important economic reports are due out, and they could have a big effect on how the central bank decides to run its operations. The gross domestic product (GDP) numbers will be released on Thursday. These numbers are very important for understanding how the economy is growing as a whole.
Then, on Friday, the prices for personal consumption expenses (PCE), which are a key sign of inflation, will be made public. Austan Goolsbee, President of the Chicago Fed, says that these data points, not secret meetings or choices, will be the main things that determine policy in the future.
The GDP report will give you a full picture of how the economy is doing, while the PCE prices will show you how inflation is doing right now. Both of these things are very important to the Federal Reserve when it comes to deciding its future policy, especially when it comes to interest rates.
The inflation numbers have been closely watched because they are getting close to the Fed’s 2% goal but haven’t quite hit it yet. The future data releases are likely to have a big effect on the Fed’s rate path as well as the outlook for the economy and stock market as a whole.
The GDP report for the last quarter of 2023 is expected to show a growth rate of 1.7%, which will give us important information about the country’s economic path.
But PCE prices, which don’t include risky parts like food and energy, are expected to rise 0.2% for the month and 3% for the whole year.
Investors and analysts will be paying close attention to these numbers because they will have a big impact on future choices about monetary policy.
In reaction to the COVID-19 crisis, the Federal Reserve has taken a number of different steps, such as loosening monetary policy, starting quantitative easing, and changing the federal funds rate.
People have paid close attention to what the central bank is doing. For example, Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, has said that he doesn’t trust economic predictions or how central banks are handling the current economic problems.
Therefore, the GDP and PCE price numbers coming out this week are likely to have a big effect on how the Federal Reserve sets interest rates in the future.
Market participants and policymakers are likely to keep a close eye on these data points because they will have a big impact on the central bank’s choices.